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Market Analysis and Investment Insights
Weekly market analysis and bulletin, Insights from the Office of Chief Investment officer on financial market and the latest on FX. Dive into the world of wealth with Citi UAE.
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Wealth Outlook 2025
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Investment Strategy Bulletin
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FX Insights
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FX Perspectives
Wealth Outlook 2025
Growth amid Discord: Investing in 2025 and Beyond
With Trump’s re-election in 2025, many are concerned about the potential policy and tariff changes that may impact investment portfolios. Citi believes in remaining disciplined when investing and to broaden horizons to other markets that have the potential to generate returns.
Investment Strategy Bulletin ꟾ Feb 21st 2025 By Citi Wealth Insights
Globalization Strikes Back
Unlike US factory workers, US equities have been key beneficiaries of globalization (please see Investment Strategy Bulletin: US Trade Deficit, Market Cap Surplus). In this light, it might be less surprising that US equities are underperforming non-US shares in the young 2025-to-date amid US tariff threats.
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Weekly FX Focus ꟾ 20th Feb 2025
FX Focus: EURUSD – Rate Differentials, Political Turbulence and Tariffs Form Headwinds for the Euro
EUR continues to face multiple headwinds despite its recent recovery from a low of 1.0211 versus USD on February 3rd. The recovery has been largely based on optimism relating to a possible Ukraine – Russia peace deal orchestrated by the US and expected to result in a fall in euro area energy prices on the back of increased Russian gas exports. But the hurdles to such a deal are many and will take more time than currently expected.
FX Perspectives | Dec 5th, 2024
FX Perspectives: Has the US dollar bottomed out?
The broad-based dollar index (DXY) have been in a downtrend since its peak in late September 2022. Much of its decline happened recently across a two-month period since mid-July. Our Head of FX Strategy, Jai Tiwari, explains the reasons for the sudden sharp drop and if the conditions are ripe for DXY to stabilize and possibly rebound from here.
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Global Strategy
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Middle East Strategy
Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant | February 7, 2025
Keeping Our Balance Amid Upheaval
Territorial claims. Tariffs. Government makeovers. What is the new US administration really up to? While we remain optimistic U.S. growth and profits will rise in 2025 and 2026, any new approach to trade – with both allies and rivals – brings increased risk to the table. President Trump’s extreme high risk/high reward approach makes a more volatile market background likely.
Sustainable Investing Spotlight
Planting for tomorrow: Weaving sustainability into the path toward food security
Rising global food insecurity has come under the spotlight following a series of geopolitical shocks, including the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Food security concerns have also been compounded by the effects of a shifting climate and increasing evidence of damage caused by accelerating biodiversity loss and water scarcity. Amid concerns about immediate and long-term food security, agriculture policies are caught in the crossfire between short-term food security and sustainability.
Middle East Strategy ꟾ Feb 2025
Middle East Strategy: The Road Ahead: GCC Strategy for 2025
The Outlook for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) remains constructive, although short-term volatility could persist as the global economy adjusts to the implications of a second Trump presidency. Donald Trump’s return to the White House brings fresh uncertainties to global trade and energy markets.
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Citibank, N.A. - UAE Branch is licensed by the Central Bank of the UAE as a branch of a foreign bank.
Citibank N.A. UAE is licensed with UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (“SCA”) to undertake the financial activity of A) promotion under license number 20200000097 B) Trading broker in international markets under license number 20200000198 C) portfolios management license number 20200000240.
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