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Investment Strategy Bulletin
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FX Insights
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Wealth Outlook 2025
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FX Perspectives
Investment Strategy Bulletin ꟾ April 26th 2025 By Citi Wealth Insights
Tired of tariff tantrums, market shifts focus to earnings
Although "soft data" continues to indicate deteriorating corporate and consumer confidence, recent “hard data” has not yet demonstrated any meaningful decline in activity. The timing and magnitude of the transmission between soft data and hard data is difficult to predict, especially given that the new tariff regime isn’t close to being finalized. Encouragingly, the labor market remains stable, and consumers and businesses alike have brought forward spending this month in anticipation of rising prices.
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Weekly FX Focus ꟾ 24th April 2025
DXY – Disorderly Decline In USD Not In Anyone’s Interest
Risk assets have been shaken by President Trump’s much larger-than-expected US reciprocal tariffs that are stagflationary for the US and disinflationary for the rest of the world (RoW). Yet, the dollar has not strengthened to rebalance global inflation risks (US vs RoW) nor has it found a safe haven bid on the back of sharply rising global risk aversion – that privilege has gone to CHF, JPY, Gold and the newly minted safe-havens EUR and GBP.
Wealth Outlook 2025
Growth amid Discord: Investing in 2025 and Beyond
With Trump’s re-election in 2025, many are concerned about the potential policy and tariff changes that may impact investment portfolios. Citi believes in remaining disciplined when investing and to broaden horizons to other markets that have the potential to generate returns.
FX Perspectives | Feb 28th, 2025
FX Perspectives: Tariff Threats and Declining FX Volatility
Since the last podcast, the broad-based USD Index (DXY) has dropped almost 320 pips to 106.60. DXY's drop has come against the backdrop of sharply declining FX volatility despite the escalating threat of tariffs from President Trump. Jaideep Tiwari, our Head of Global Foreign Exchange Investment Strategy explains why markets may be paring back the Trump tariff premium, and key currencies that may be affected by tariff risks.
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Middle East Strategy
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Global Strategy
Middle East Strategy ꟾ Mar 2025
Middle East Strategy: Economic Fear Driving Prices Lower
The oil market is facing significant downward pressure from a combination of weak demand expectations, rising supply from OPEC+ and non-OPEC+ producers, and global economic uncertainty. Brent crude is currently trading around $70 per barrel at time of writing, with risks tilted to the downside as markets prepare additional supply and potential economic headwinds.
Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant | February 7, 2025
Keeping Our Balance Amid Upheaval
Territorial claims. Tariffs. Government makeovers. What is the new US administration really up to? While we remain optimistic U.S. growth and profits will rise in 2025 and 2026, any new approach to trade – with both allies and rivals – brings increased risk to the table. President Trump’s extreme high risk/high reward approach makes a more volatile market background likely.
Sustainable Investing Spotlight
Planting for tomorrow: Weaving sustainability into the path toward food security
Rising global food insecurity has come under the spotlight following a series of geopolitical shocks, including the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Food security concerns have also been compounded by the effects of a shifting climate and increasing evidence of damage caused by accelerating biodiversity loss and water scarcity. Amid concerns about immediate and long-term food security, agriculture policies are caught in the crossfire between short-term food security and sustainability.
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Citibank N.A. - UAE Branch is licensed by the Central Bank of the UAE as a branch of a foreign bank.
Citibank N.A. UAE is licensed with UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (“SCA”) to undertake the financial activity of A) promotion under license number 20200000097 B) Trading broker in international markets under license number 20200000198 C) portfolios management license number 20200000240.
Copyright © 2025 Citigroup Inc.