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Weekly market analysis and bulletin, Insights from the Office of Chief Investment officer on financial market and the latest on FX. Dive into the world of wealth with Citi UAE.
Wealth Outlook 2025
Investment Strategy Bulletin
FX Insights
FX Perspectives
Wealth Outlook 2025
With Trump’s re-election in 2025, many are concerned about the potential policy and tariff changes that may impact investment portfolios. Citi believes in remaining disciplined when investing and to broaden horizons to other markets that have the potential to generate returns.
Investment Strategy Bulletin ꟾ Feb 21st 2025 By Citi Wealth Insights
Unlike US factory workers, US equities have been key beneficiaries of globalization (please see Investment Strategy Bulletin: US Trade Deficit, Market Cap Surplus). In this light, it might be less surprising that US equities are underperforming non-US shares in the young 2025-to-date amid US tariff threats.
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Weekly FX Focus ꟾ 6th Feb 2025
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) hiked its policy rate from 0.25% to 0.50% at its January meeting, indicating “the likelihood of realizing the (BoJ’s) outlook has been rising” and pointing to gains in wages in spring wage negotiations. The BoJ also judged “global financial and capital markets have been stable on the whole” despite uncertainty around US trade policies, suggesting the current environment allowed the BoJ to hike rates.
FX Perspectives | Dec 5th, 2024
The broad-based dollar index (DXY) have been in a downtrend since its peak in late September 2022. Much of its decline happened recently across a two-month period since mid-July. Our Head of FX Strategy, Jai Tiwari, explains the reasons for the sudden sharp drop and if the conditions are ripe for DXY to stabilize and possibly rebound from here.
Global Strategy
Middle East Strategy
Global Strategy ꟾ Quadrant | February 7, 2025
Territorial claims. Tariffs. Government makeovers. What is the new US administration really up to? While we remain optimistic U.S. growth and profits will rise in 2025 and 2026, any new approach to trade – with both allies and rivals – brings increased risk to the table. President Trump’s extreme high risk/high reward approach makes a more volatile market background likely.
Sustainable Investing Spotlight
Rising global food insecurity has come under the spotlight following a series of geopolitical shocks, including the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Food security concerns have also been compounded by the effects of a shifting climate and increasing evidence of damage caused by accelerating biodiversity loss and water scarcity. Amid concerns about immediate and long-term food security, agriculture policies are caught in the crossfire between short-term food security and sustainability.
Middle East Strategy ꟾ Dec 2024
Donald Trump’s re-election could usher in a period of heightened uncertainty for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and the broader Middle East. From energy markets to security arrangements and global trade realignments, Trump 2.0 could compel Gulf nations to accelerate their diversification plans, forge new alliances, and reimagine their strategies in a more polarised world.
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